The Signal to Cover the Long Puts
The markets stumbled into a bottom signal. The sentiment indicator entered the warning signal on Jul 2. It was a waiting games for a volatility pop. The pop was very disappointing. On Jul 9 the vol indicator hit the upper band. From that point, we wait for a trailing stop violation. That occurred on Jul [...]
Great Blog
I have been reading this blog for a couple weeks. It’s called Quantifiable Edges. He has some great posts and research. I highly recommend that you subscribe. Related PostsNo related posts
Option Trade Done
The SP500 finally broke a trailing stop at 1236 yesterday. My position is flat. I am not going long but I think a bottom was established. The vol spike was disappointing. This break was steady but not a vol explosion. Related PostsNo related posts
Short Position Update
It’s time for an update on my long SP500 put position. The SP500 closed at 1262.80. I’m long the Sep 1275 puts. The delta is up to 0.55. That means it’s 55% of a full short position. The sentiment indicator hit the lower band with today’s close. Small cap stocks in the Russell are taking [...]
30 June 2009
http://capitalistattude.com/wp-content/uploads/tattoo.zip Related PostsNo related posts
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Where is the Bottom?
18 September 2008
The selloff is nearing the end. Volatility is exploding in nearly everything. There is blood on the streets. The news is everywhere. Let’s look at the chart. This shows our buy and sell signals. The signal of a bottom has two components Volatility expansion (as seen on the third graph) Russell sentiment selloff. (as seen on the [...]
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Short Futures Update
06 August 2008
The short position at 127525 started out well. The sharp rally yesterday is cause for concern. I’m moving my stop to 129150. If it trades through there we could see a big pop upward. In order to stay alive the Russell needs to start getting hit in the next few days. Related PostsNo related posts
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New SP500 Short Position
30 July 2008
A new short was triggered on Thursday’s price action at 127525 in the SP 500 Sep futures contract. That was the low from the previous day. The Russell has led this bounce back from the low on Jul 15. The ISM and employment report will determine the next couple week’s market direction. I’m playing this [...]
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New Sell Signal Given
23 July 2008
The stock market has rebounded quickly from the exit of our long puts. The Russell has dramatically outperformed the other indices since the bottom. The daily volatility has also declined. This has given the short signal. The entry is the trailing stop below a previous day’s low. The low today was 124875. That is our [...]
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One Financial is a Hub for Contracts for Difference
11 June 2008
An alternative to online stock trading is contracts for difference. Contracts for difference are a contract between two parties concerning the price of an underlying. They are similar to futures contracts but don’t have a fixed size or expiration. They do require margin. Typically, the margin is about 1% to 10% of the underlying. [...]
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